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Thursday, 25 May, 2006

 | James Gray on Going Nuclear |
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The word “nuclear” produces oddly mixed emotions amongst most of us. This week, the Prime Minister rather oddly seemed to pre-empt the current Energy Review by announcing to a CBI Dinner that he was certain that we would need a new generation of nuclear reactors. The green lobby went “nuclear” as a result, although the message they sent out was a bit mixed. Some seemed to think that nuclear power may well be the only solution to Global Warming; others that the nuclear waste at the end of it is just as environmentally damaging. That lobby seems to argue that all we need are a few windmills , and to use a bit less power and all will be fine. Ideallists? Or head in the sands? I probably tend to agree with the PM that there is no real option but nuclear power, which anyhow seems to me to have fewer downsides than most other forms of generation. But I will watch the debate, and the Energy Review, and the passionate letters on both sides of the argument to the Editor of the Gazette which these views will doubtless spark off.
Now while Mr Blair was advocating the use of enriched uranium to make Britain’s electricity, he and the international community were becoming more and more exercised about the declared intention of the Iranian Government to do exactly the same thing. Despite their protestations to the contrary, there is more and more talk about pre-emptive self-defensive action against Iran’s nuclear installations, perhaps as early as this autumn. International lawyers told me at a seminar on Thursday that such a strike would probably be perfectly legal, unlike Iraq which was almost certainly illegal. Jack Straw, who said that such a thing was impossible, finds himself demoted and side-lined, with the arch-Blairite Mrs Becket saying that “There was no immediate prospect of military action against Iraq,” or some such weasel words, leaving the door wide open for British support for an American air strike. The anti-war Foreign Office has been downgraded by her appointment in favour of a possibly more belligerent No 10.
Its very likely that the Americans would use nuclear-tipped bombs to destroy the deep bunkers in Iran, and to prevent a pre-emptive nuclear strike by Israel who are so directly threatened by the mad President of Iran. North Korea meanwhile continues to build its nuclear arsenal, and India and Pakistan’s mutual nukes are in a sometimes uneasy balance across Kashmir. British nuclear submarines (nuclear powered as well as nuclear weaponed) cruise beneath the world’s oceans. A decision on what should replace Trident is imminent. I wonder if the newly-nuclear and belligerent Mr Blair will take it before he demits office to the presumably greener and more pacifist Mr Brown? We shall see.
The fact is that both nuclear power and nuclear weapons have important roles to play in non-fossil fuel generation reducing global warming and in deterring less responsible nations from use of nuclear weapons. But explaining those difficult arguments takes statesmanship and courage - commodities of which the current Government are remarkably short.
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